The 2025 Florida Derby at Gulfstream Park will feature ten Kentucky Derby hopefuls competing for qualifying points, with Fountain of Youth winner Sovereignty and Holy Bull runner-up Tappan Street among the contenders. Sovereignty is the favorite at 8-5 odds, followed by Madaket Road at 7-2 and Disruptor at 4-1. Kentucky Derby qualifying points will be awarded on a 100-50-25-15-10 scale at the Florida Derby, which has a post time of 6:48 p.m. ET.
SportsLine writer Gene Menez, a former Sports Illustrated reporter and editor, is providing expert analysis and predictions for the 2025 Florida Derby. Menez is fading Sovereignty as the favorite, citing concerns about the horse’s ability to win at less than 100% with the Kentucky Derby on the horizon. Instead, Menez is backing a horse who has been training well and offers good value, as well as a double-digit longshot with potential.
Menez’s picks and best bets for the 2025 Florida Derby are available on SportsLine, where he has a track record of successful predictions in major horse racing events. Fans looking to make informed wagers on the Florida Derby can access Menez’s expert analysis to help guide their betting decisions.